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Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
| Choose a different matchup: |
YATE TOWN vs. MERTHYR TOWN
(neutral venue - no home advantage applied to match-up calculations)
| The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on historical matches with the same ELO score difference. | The likelihood of the match result between the two sides, based on their respective ELO form in the last eight games. |
A listing of all historical matches with identical ELO scores as Yate Town vs. Merthyr Town.
| Venue | Wins for equivalent team to Yate Town (ELO score: 2813) |
Draws | Wins for equivalent team to Merthyr Town (ELO score: 2954) |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Away | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 AUG 2013 | CONF | Dulwich Hamlet (2954) |
4 - 0 | Cray Wanderers (2813) |
9.7 |
A historical comparison of Yate Town's and Merthyr Town's ELO scores.
| Yate Town | Merthyr Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Current ELO Score: | 2812.9 | 2954.1 |
| Best ELO Score: | 3003.1 Saturday, April 29, 2006 |
3670 Saturday, September 3, 1921 |
| Worst ELO Score: | 2781.7 Tuesday, April 21, 2009 |
2756.2 Saturday, February 19, 2022 |
A summary of all historical matches between Yate Town and Merthyr Town.
| Venue | Played | Yate Town wins |
Draws | Merthyr Town wins |
Yate Town goals |
Merthyr Town goals |
Yate Town SR% |
Merthyr Town SR% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 20 | 61.5% | 38.5% |
| HOME | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 9 | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| AWAY | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Date | Comp | Home Team | Score | Away Team | ELO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 APR 2023 | CONF | Merthyr Town (2948) |
1 - 2 | Yate Town (2818) |
14.5 |
| 26 DEC 2022 | CONF | Yate Town (2893) |
2 - 2 | Merthyr Town (2862) |
1.9 |
| 27 DEC 2021 | CONF | Merthyr Town (2811) |
0 - 3 | Yate Town (2954) |
12.4 |
| 30 AUG 2021 | CONF | Yate Town (2860) |
2 - 2 | Merthyr Town (2901) |
0.1 |
| 26 DEC 2019 | CONF | Merthyr Town (2891) |
2 - 1 | Yate Town (2874) |
8.4 |
| 24 JAN 2009 | CONF | Merthyr Tydfil (2970) |
2 - 1 | Yate Town (2820) |
4.8 |
| 19 AUG 2008 | CONF | Yate Town (2890) |
4 - 0 | Merthyr Tydfil (2894) |
16.4 |
| 16 NOV 2007 | CONF | Merthyr Tydfil (2900) |
3 - 5 | Yate Town (2898) |
17.2 |
| 4 SEP 2007 | CONF | Yate Town (2882) |
3 - 1 | Merthyr Tydfil (2928) |
14.9 |
| 17 MAR 2007 | CONF | Merthyr Tydfil (2916) |
0 - 0 | Yate Town (2961) |
0.2 |
| 22 AUG 2006 | CONF | Yate Town (2980) |
2 - 2 | Merthyr Tydfil (2939) |
2.6 |
| 4 FEB 2006 | CONF | Yate Town (2966) |
3 - 2 | Merthyr Tydfil (2965) |
8.4 |
| 16 AUG 2005 | CONF | Merthyr Tydfil (2985) |
3 - 0 | Yate Town (2902) |
10.8 |